After looking at several indices - Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), S&P500, Hang Seng Index (HSI) and Straits TImes Index (STI), it's quite fascinating to see how this strategy turns out on indices from different regions.
From the look of it, the market actions is quite like what been stated in our earlier blog topic "Introduction - 52-Week High / Low" posted on 7 May 2016.
When the market exceeds its 52-week high or low, it is not necessary the market actions continue it's preceeding direction but it may reverses.
Seeing that, it makes the analysis more challenging if one to use solely this strategy.
We also noticed the huge opportunities miss when one applies this strategy. Take a look at the chart below.
(Posted earlier on 15 May 2016 under "52-Week High Low Case Study - Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)").
During the US Subprime Mortgage Crisis, it made a low of 6,469.95 on 6 March 2009 and the market rebounded to 52-week High of 10,228.20 on 9 Nov 2009.
A total of 3,758.25 points gained from the rebound.
Another example of chart (attached below) with huge points gained from the rebound in comparison to the 52-week High break out.
Big Fat Rabbit !
Huge opportunities not to be missed for long position traders.
Source :
1) Metastock
In the last post, we looked at 52-week High on Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) during US Subprime Mortgage Crisis 2008/09.
In 2nd part of DJIA, we shall look at 52-week Low.
DJIA recorded its 1st 52-week Low of 11,634.82 points on 22 Jan 2008. Instead of continuing downtrend, it rebounded to a high of 12,767.74 on 1 Feb 2008.
A gain of +1,132.92 points (+9.74%).
This price action aligned with the alternative strategy which was stated during our introduction of 52-week High Low, as follow:
"Alternatively, another strategy is to sell when price reaches its 52-week high on the assumption that price will recede, or to buy when price reaches its 52-week low in anticipation of a value play."
Take note that the market lost -2,563.28 points (about -18% ) from its high of 14,198.10 points on 11 Oct 2007 to its 1st 52-week Low on 22 Jan 2008.
If we continue forward, we will make an interesting discovery that the 1st 52-week Low was not the lowest point DJIA hit during the crisis. DJIA touched its lowest point of 6,469.95 points on 6 Mar 2009.
In the coming posts, we shall look at S&P500 and some Asia markets indices before we conclude 52-week High/Low strategy.
Source :
1) Metastock
2) www.investopedia.com
In the last posting, it was stated as follow:
"A popular strategy used by stock traders is to buy when price exceeds its 52-week high or to sell when the price falls below its 52-week low."
We select DJIA market performance during US Subprime Mortgage Crisis 2008/2009 to study the strategy. Attached below is Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA).
During the crisis, DJIA recorded it's lowest of 6,469.95 points on 6 March 2009.
Thereafter, the market rebounded.
DJIA recorded it's first 52-Week High of 10,228.20 points on 9 Nov 2009 and the market continued to move upward and recorded a new high of 10,729.90 points on 19 Jan 2010.
Net gain of +501.70 points (+4.91%) based on this strategy.
Take note that the market recorded a huge gain of +3,758.25 points (+158%) from 6 March 2009 to first 52-Week High.
Source : Metastock
