Sunday, 17 July 2016

WTI Crude Oil - Case Study

 (Published on 17 July 2016, Re-published on 18 July 2016)

I have been following crude oil price for some time. However, recent price action got my full attention.

Here is a chart example of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil.

On 16 Jun 2016, the price broke below the S-Trader Pivot Support but the price action did not move downward aggressively as some of the indicators as noted below did not show heavy selling pressure in much action.

1) S-Trader Volumetric - relatively below Average volume.
2) S-Trader Smart Money Index - Positive (Green bar), big boys are still supporting the market. But, there is sign of declining support.
3) S-Trader Multi Months High Low - 1-month Low triggered.

Similar situation occurred on 27 Jun except this time S-Trader Volumetric showed relatively Average volume.

On 7 Jul, it had a similar outcome with 27 Jun except S-Trader Smart Money Index at lowest positive side as compare to 2 previous events. 

The following day 8 Jul and onwards Smart Money Index showed the big boys has moved toward the negative side (Red bar) while price action on side way.

Going forward, its quite interesting to watch the price direction.

In fact, the situation has becomes more exciting with some of the following news been published.

5 July 2016 - "Chevron Bets $37 Billion on Expansion as Oil Rises, Costs Fall" 

7 July 2016 - "Big Oil's $45 Billion of New Projects Signal Spending Revival"

12 July 2016 - "OPEC Producer Sees Oil at $60 Until 2018 With Demand Picking Up"

15 July 2016 - "Faltering Oil Recovery Prompts Warnings of a Relapse to $40" 



Chart Source :
1) Metastock

Wednesday, 13 July 2016

CNMC Goldmine Holdings Ltd (STI : CNMC) - Case Study

CNMC also joined the gold price rally.


On 10 February 2016, CNMC breakout S-Trader Pivot Resistance and closed at SGD 0.20707. With the following indications been triggered.

1) S-Trader Smart Money Index - Positive, the big boys turned bullish.
2) S-Trader Multi Months High Low - 1-month High breakout.
3) S-Trader Volumetric - relatively High volume.

The following day, 11 February CNMC continued its rally and setting some indicators new record.

1) S-Trader Multi Months High Low - 1st 3-month High breakout.
2) S-Trader Volumetric - relative Very High/or Ultra High volume.

The stock price rallied to a closing of SGD 0.61 on 7 July 2016 with a profit of SGD 0.40293 (+194.6%).

 
If we miss the first opportunity, the next good entry happened on 20 April 2016 with a closing price of SGD 0.25637.

CNMC breakout S-Trader Pivot Resistance with strong support from big boys (S-Trader Smart Money Index - Positive or Green bar) along with relatively Very High/or Ultra High volume.

This 2nd opportunity also works a handsome profit of SGD 0.35363 (+138%).


Chart Source :
1) Metastock

Monday, 11 July 2016

Shandong Gold Mining Co. Ltd (SSE Composite) - Case Study

Here is another example of stock price rallies in tandem with gold rally.




On 24 February 2016, the stock price broke above S-Trader Pivot Resistance with closing price of RMB24.41.

The price broke out with the following indications.
1) S-Trader Smart Money Index - Positive (Green Bar). This indicates strong support from Big Boys (Smart Money).
2) S-Trader Multi Months High Low - 1st 6-month High breakout.
3) S-Trader Volumetric - relatively High volume.


Thereafter, the stock price rallied with the latest closing price of RMB46.56 on 8 July 2016. A profit of RMB22.15 (+90.7%).


Chart Source :
1) Metastock